Thaum anti-neeg ua phem lub lag luam xaus Ukrainian

Lub cev qhuav dej ntawm lub Soviet Union, chiv nyob peacefully txaus, coj mus rau rov tshwm sim nyob rau hauv lub loj heev lub teb chaws heev heev "cov pob kub". Pawg lwm haiv tib tsis sib haum, sai sai suppressed los ntawm lub Soviet cov tub ceev xwm siv rau tag nrho cov txhais tau tias ntawm lub xeev apparatus, mam li nco dheev muaj ib tug mus "tua", nyob rau hauv qhov tseeb, lawv qhov tseem ceeb - cov zog thiab cov neeg sab nrauv nationalist - nyob rau hauv ntau tshiab khiv tsim lub teb chaws los ua ib feem ntawm cov nom tswv apparatus thiab cov bastion ntawm statehood. Tom qab lub tragic cov txheej xwm nyob rau hauv Nagorno-Karabakh, Abkhazia, Transnistria, Tajikistan, Chechnya, Dagestan, Georgia, Kyrgyzstan thiab ntau lwm post-Soviet cov cheeb tsam, nws yog lub lem ntawm Ukraine. Ntawm no nws pib lub thiaj li hu ua "anti-neeg ua phem lub lag luam" unprecedented nyob rau hauv nws cov nplai, uas tej zaum yuav obscure, muaj ntau lub zos kev tsov kev rog ntawm lub thib nees nkaum thiab thaum ntxov nees nkaum-thawj centuries.

prehistory

Ukraine dabneeg faib raws predominating nyob rau hauv ntau qhov chaw ntawm cov nom tswv thiab keeb kwm sympathies. Txawm li cas los, nyob rau hauv tas li ntawd mus rau lub "Bandera" thiab "vatnicheskoy" ideologies, muaj economic yam uas feem xyuam rau txoj kev kawm ntawm lub ntxiv kev loj hlob ntawm lub xeev. Thawj Tswj Hwm Yanukovych, paub qhov tseeb, laus, xaiv ib tug tsab ntawv tsa suab vector ntawm lub teb chaws muab rau nws. Cov neeg ua hauj lwm nws yog tsis yooj yim: yuav tsum txiav txim tias nws yog cheaper nyob rau hauv lub macroeconomic kev txiav txim zoo - aspiration rau sab hnub poob, pheej ib tug heev nyob deb zeem muag ntawm pib rau cov paub tsis meej rau ntau cov pej xeem ntawm Ukraine, "European qhov tseem ceeb", los yog tus heev tiag tiag coj mus muag thiab industrial co-lag luam nrog lub Lavxias teb sab Federation. Nws complicates cov kev xaiv no kuj tsis tshua muaj neeg mob hnyav muab lub EU: "Nyob rau hauv ob cov quav zaum tsis yooj yim sua, thiab leej twg yog tsis muaj peb yog tawm tsam peb!" Nyob rau hauv lub kawg, Victor Fedorovich poob mus rau hauv tsis meej pem, kev quab yuam thov tiv thaiv ib tug zoo-ncaav Maidan tsis tau twv, thiab yog puastsuaj lauj.

pib

Cam hais tias lub Donetsk thiab Lugansk noj rau nws lawb tawm thiab khiav mus tus thawj tswj hwm tej kev sib tw uas pab koj tu siab, muaj peev xwm tsuas yog tsis tshua muaj neeg naïve saib. Txawm li cas los, cov heev fact uas tuaj rau lub hwj chim los ntawm cov neeg sawv cev ntawm tsuas yog ib qho kev nom kev tswv quab yuam, tsis txhob xav txog nws tsim nyog los mloog mus rau lwm cov kev xav, tshwm sim los ib co tau yws yws. Tom qab sib cais ntawm lub Crimea thiab nws nkag mus rau hauv lub Lavxias teb sab Federation muaj yog ib tug precedent heralding lub imminent thiab ua kom tiav cev qhuav dej ntawm lub teb chaws. Plaub Hlis Ntuj 7 pib anti-neeg ua phem lub lag luam nyob rau hauv Eastern Ukraine. Lub npe ntawm no cov tub rog txiav txim rub lub creation ntawm ib tug tej yam duab ntawm tus yeeb ncuab. Thiab cov tub rog, thiab lawv tus kheej cov neeg thiab cov zej zog thoob ntiaj instills lub tswv yim uas qhov kev sib ntaus yuav tsum tau nrog ib tug ob peb pab pawg ntawm cov mercenaries thiab bandits, feem ntau ntawm cov uas tuaj ntawm qab lub Lavxias teb sab ciam teb. Nyob rau hauv cov ntaub ntawv no, cov kev tsim yeej guaranteed, ceev ceev thiab yuav luag bloodless. Heev sai sai no, txhua txhua sober-minded neeg uas muaj ib tug ib txwm mus soj ntsuam cov txheej xwm, pib paub qhov yuam kev ntawm (nyob zoo) los yog kev ua txhaum (rau ntawm phem tshaj) ntawm no mus kom ze rau lub rooj ntawm qhov teeb meem, tus paub tias nws Red Cross Committee "non-thoob ntiaj teb".

Cov lus nug txog legitimacy

Anti-neeg ua phem lub lag luam twb tshaj tawm los ntawm tus Acting Thawj Tswj Hwm ntawm Ukraine Turchinov. Nws thiab nws cov npoj yaig tuaj rau lub hwj chim yog hais txog li legitimately li cov Bolshevik Party nyob rau hauv 1917. Lub teb chaws raug kev txom nyem ib tug coup, hu ua kiv puag ncig, tab sis nws muaj nws lub ntsiab feature - cov kev hloov ntawm socio-economic tsim. Cov ntaub ntawv, kos npe los ntawm Acting Thawj Tswj Hwm, nyob rau hauv nws lub npe muaj cov kev qhia "consolidation", "cessation ntawm confrontation" thiab cov ntsiab lus ncaj qha mus rau qhov chaw nyob qhov twg muaj ib tug loj kev hem thawj rau lub tshiab tsoom fwv: Donetsk thiab Lugansk cheeb tsam. Ntau ntawm cov pejxeem yuav tsum xaiv tsa nyob rau hauv cov neeg uas yuav tsum tau mus xaiv ib tug tsim nyog tus thawj tswj hwm, hnov tsawg kawg yog rau ib co degree lawv views.

ATO tom qab kev xaiv tsa

Cov kev xaiv yog es cov neeg pluag. Next rau cov neeg uas tuaj mus rau lub seem rau 25 Tej zaum lees paub rau cov tsos ntawm cov sib tw thiab lub koob npe nrov hais tias lawv yuav tau rau nws yav tas los ua hauj lwm. Koom nyob rau hauv lub plebiscite, cov pej xeem ntawm lub feem ntau suav hais tias yog feem ntau ib tug zoo-nrhiav duab Petra Poroshenko, pinning kev cia siab rau nws txiav txim siab zoo thiab ua lag ua luam neeg tham lwm mus kom ze rau lub rooj ntawm cov tub teeb meem. Optimistic cov miv nyuas yog tsis tau ntsib, ib tug anti-neeg ua phem lub lag luam yog txuas nrog txawm ntau dua ferocity.

questionable successes

Lub deplorable lub xeev ntawm cov Armed Forces ntawm Ukraine yog inseparably txuas nrog lub nyiaj txiag teeb meem ntawm lub teb chaws. Txawm tias cov kev siv zog kom muaj morale thiab lub ntuj superiority ntawm firepower thiab tus xov tooj ntawm hom kev kawm tshaj tus tswv tsev ntawm cov kev pab tub rog, lub successes yog thawm, thiab losses tshaj tag nrho cov conceivable kev cai. Number of aircraft xuas phom tua cia rau ib ntev lub sij hawm ob tug lej, thiab hlawv los ntawm cov cuab yeej yog tsis ua rau ib tug ntev lub sij hawm. Hais txog qhov kev tsis ntawm cov neeg ua Ukraine pejxeem tau yuav tsum tau txiav txim rau tsis tseem ceeb pov thawj, lawv muab zais thiab underreported. Tua civilians, pom los ntawm hais txog ib txhiab innocent cov neeg raug (xws li cov me nyuam) thiab yuav ua li cas muaj ntau yam ntawm lawv ua tau - yog ib qhov nyuaj los mus txiav txim. Bombing thiab shelling puas lawm lub tsev nyob thiab kev sib raug zoo chaw. Ib tug kev sib mus rau lub fact tias cov antiterrorist lag luam nyob rau hauv lub Donetsk cheeb tsam yog ua nce punitive. Txawm li cas los, nyob rau hauv lub Luhansk heev.

prospects

Lub Chechen tsov rog yog ib tug txaus ntshai poob siab rau Russia. Kwv yees li ib feem pua ntawm cov pejxeem ntawm cov loj tshaj plaws lub teb chaws nyob rau hauv lub ntiaj teb no muab tau tsis txaus siab nrog tus uas twb muaj nyiaj txiag thiab kev nom kev tswv qhov teeb meem no, npaum li cas ntawm nws tau raug teeb rau secede los ntawm cov Lavxias teb sab Federation. Ukrainian anti-neeg ua phem lub lag luam yog ua nyob rau hauv ib tug ntau npaum li cas tseem ceeb heev. Tsis sib haum nrog cov domestic thiab txawv teb chaws txoj cai ntawm qhov tam sim no coj noj coj ua nyob rau hauv cov zaubmov, qhia ib tug loj ib feem ntawm cov neeg, thiab nyob rau hauv ib tug kev sib ntaus los tsam nyob ntawm 4 mus rau 5 feem pua ntawm cov pejxeem, thaum lub sij hawm kev pab paus ntawm Ukraine ntau txog neb poorer. Cov tub rog sib ntaus sib tua rau txoj kev sib sau ntawm lub teb chaws, tsis muaj txhua yam los ntawm lub cev tej cuab yeej rau cov hais tsis zoo khoom noj khoom haus. Tshaj tawm ib tug tshiab mobilization. Yuav ua li cas ntau ntau yuav ntxiv anti-neeg ua phem lub lag luam? Zog ntawm Guj kuj lees txais cov neeg tawg rog, lawv muaj pua pua txhiab tus ...