Yog hais tias lub Georgian-Abkhaz teeb meem yog evolving, ces nws yog pab rau ib tug neeg

Rau 21 xyoo, lawv tsis pom reconciliation ntawm cov neeg ntawm Georgia. Tej zaum Abkhazians nrog Georgians nrhiav tau ib tug ntau hom lus, yog hais tias tsis rau cov kev pab ntawm lwm lub teb chaws. Txawm li cas los, keeb kwm tsis paub lo lus "yog" thiab cov Georgian-Abkhaz teeb meem yog nyob deb los yog solved. Mus saib tau hauv Dub hiav txwv tau los ua ib tug cua morsel rau tej lub teb chaws, uas yuav sib ntaus sib tua rau nws, nyob rau hauv cov kev phem ntawm txoj kev poob ntawm tib neeg lub neej.

Ua rau muaj teeb meem

Txawm cov thawj phaum discontent tshwm sim nyob rau hauv 1991 nyob rau hauv Georgia, tab sis lawv tsuas yog ib lub teb chaws ua cim thiab yog negligible. Lub US yuav tsis coj kom zoo dua ntawm no lub caij nyoog, vim hais tias cov tawm tsam rau supremacy nyob rau hauv lub ntiaj teb no tus ob muaj zog lub xeev sib sau momentum. Lub teb chaws As Mes Lis Kas, raws li ib tug tswv cuab ntawm NATO nyob rau hauv 1998 tshaj tawm ib tug tub rog nyob rau lub luag hauj lwm ntawm dab tsi tshwm sim nyob rau hauv Ukraine, Moldova thiab lub Caucasus. Yog li ntawd lawv, tos los ze zog mus Russia, sim "thuam" ib tug tom qab lwm lub teb chaws uas txhawb nws.

Hais tias NATO yog tsim nyog los tsim cov roj raj dej los ntawm lub Caucasus, Dub hiav txwv thiab lub Balkans. Tom qab hais tias, nws twb txiav txim siab los mus tsim ib railway txuas Central Asia, lub Caucasus, Dub hiav txwv, rau sab hnub poob. Ces lub tebchaws United States xyuam xim rau Georgia thiab yog li ntxias cov Georgian-Abkhaz teeb meem. Ua ntej, lub Georgian pab tub rog tsiv mus rau US riam phom, thiab Russia ua heev ib qho kev zoo kom muaj xws li ib tug neeg nyob ze, txawm txaus ntshai. Ces Georgia Russia tsis tshuab hauv qab no lub siv - koom NATO, txawm hais tias qhov no yog tau leej twg. US domination ntawm lub teb chaws, ob qho tib si nyob rau hauv tsev. Abkhaz teeb meem muaj nrog cov tshiab quab yuam: cov neeg ntawm lub cheeb tsam nrog cov pro-Lavxias teb sab tawm tsam tiv thaiv Americans. Georgia yog muab faib ua ob camps: ib txhia yog twv rau sab hnub poob, cov lwm yam - rau Russia.

ethno-kev nom kev tswv teeb meem

Nyob rau hauv lub keeb kwm ntawm qhov teeb meem nws yog tseem lub npe hu ua "ethno-kev nom kev tswv teeb meem" vim hais tias nws provoked artificially los ntawm ob tug haib haiv neeg ntawm lub ntiaj teb no. Nws yog zoo ntawm ib tug tawm tsam rau lub tsev ntawm spheres ntawm cawv nyob rau hauv lub ntiaj teb no. Zog ntawm Guj kuj tsis xav kom poob rau Georgia raws li ib tug thaj yeeb cov neeg nyob ze. Thiab lub US yog heev npaum li cas yuav tsum tau. Tom qab tag nrho cov, nyob rau nws lub teb chaws yuav nruab nuclear warheads aimed ntawm Russia.

Ntshav muaj disadvantageous rau tej lub xeev, los yog rau lwm yam. Tiam sis Georgian-Abkhaz teeb meem tsoo tawm. Zog ntawm Guj kuj xa peacekeepers rau Abkhazia. Lub US tsis nyiam nws, thiab lawv yuav nrhiav tau sai sai ib txoj kev tawm ntawm qhov teeb meem no: vim hais tias Georgia yog ib tug tswv cuab ntawm NATO, lawv (piv txwv li lub teb chaws USA) yuav tsum sau mus rau nws peacekeeping units. Zoo, cov phoojywg raug yuam kom thim rov qab, thiab tam sim no tus thawj tswj hwm ntawm cov neeg Asmeskas hais tias lawv yuav rov Yugoslavia.

America yog ntshai loj tub rog ua nyob rau hauv Abkhazia, nyob rau hauv thiaj li tsis mus ntxias ib tug tsov rog uas tau ua txhaum cov kev pab them nqi rau qhov kev siv ntawm lub railway. Nyob rau hauv tas li ntawd, tej tawg yuav ua tau kom muaj kev puas tsuaj, raws li nyob rau hauv lub qub mines Tkuarchal sau methane. Plua plav los ntawm cov tawg clears nws ib ncig ntawm lub Dub hiav txwv tub tiv thaiv.

Zog ntawm Guj kuj yog muaj ib lub xeev ntawm thaum muaj xwm ceev rau cov Inguri pas fais fab qhov chaw nres tsheb, ces tus cwj pwm ntawm hostilities nws tseem yog disadvantageous. Nws yog feem ntau ntawm tag nrho cov xav nyob rau hauv lub stabilization ntawm qhov teeb meem no nyob rau hauv Georgia, vim hais tias nws yuav muab kev thaj yeeb nyob rau hauv lub Caucasus. Tam sim no, Georgian-Abkhaz teeb meem tseem tsis tau daws. A cua daim av tsis xav kom muab leej twg. Nyob rau lub tsev lag luam ntawm kaj siab lug no yog ib tug tshwj xeeb NATO ambassador.